Abstract
This chapter develops a unified modeling framework for analyzing the strategic
behavior of forecasters. The theoretical model encompasses reputational objectives,
competition for the best accuracy, and bias. Also drawing from the extensive lit-
erature on analysts, we review the empirical evidence on strategic forecasting and
illustrate how our model can be structurally estimated.
behavior of forecasters. The theoretical model encompasses reputational objectives,
competition for the best accuracy, and bias. Also drawing from the extensive lit-
erature on analysts, we review the empirical evidence on strategic forecasting and
illustrate how our model can be structurally estimated.
Bidragets oversatte titel | Målsætninger og strategier hos fremskrivere |
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Originalsprog | Engelsk |
Titel | Handbook of Economic Forecasting |
Redaktører | Graham Elliott, Allan Timmermann |
Vol/bind | 2B |
Forlag | North-Holland |
Publikationsdato | 2013 |
Sider | 689–720 |
Kapitel | 12 |
ISBN (Trykt) | 978-0-444-62731-5 |
ISBN (Elektronisk) | 9780444627407 |
DOI | |
Status | Udgivet - 2013 |
Navn | Handbooks in Economics |
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ISSN | 0169-7218 |
Emneord
- Det Samfundsvidenskabelige Fakultet