Diabetes incidence and long-term exposure to air pollution: a cohort study

Zorana Jovanovic Andersen, Ole Raaschou-Nielsen, Matthias Ketzel, Steen S Jensen, Martin Hvidberg, Steffen Loft, Anne Tjønneland, Kim Overvad, Mette Sørensen

182 Citationer (Scopus)

Abstract

OBJECTIVE - Animal and cross-sectional epidemiological studies suggest a link between air pollution and diabetes, whereas the limited prospective data show mixed results. We studied the association between long-term exposure to traffic-related air pollution and incidence of diabetes. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS - We followed 57,053 participants of the Danish Diet, Cancer, and Health cohort in the Danish National Diabetes Register between baseline (1993-1997) and 27 June 2006. We estimated the mean levels of nitrogen dioxide (NO 2) at the residential addresses of the cohort participants since 1971 and modeled the association between NO 2 and diabetes incidence with a Cox regression model, separately for two definitions of diabetes: all cases and a more strict definition where unconfirmed cases were excluded. RESULTS - Over a mean follow-up of 9.7 years of 51,818 eligible subjects, there were 4,040 (7.8%) incident diabetes cases in total and 2,877 (5.5%) with confirmed diagnoses. Air pollution was not associated with all diabetes cases (hazard ratio 1.00 [95%CI 0.97-1.04] per interquartile range of 4.9 μg/m 3 mean NO 2 levels since 1971), but a borderline statistically significant association was detected with confirmed cases of diabetes (1.04 [1.00-1.08]). Among confirmed diabetes cases, effects were significantly enhanced in nonsmokers (1.12 [1.05-1.20]) and physically active people (1.10 [1.03-1.16]). CONCLUSIONS - Long-term exposure to traffic-related air pollution may contribute to the development of diabetes, especially in individuals with a healthy lifestyle, nonsmokers, and physically active individuals.

OriginalsprogEngelsk
TidsskriftDiabetes Care
Vol/bind35
Udgave nummer1
Sider (fra-til)92-8
Antal sider7
ISSN0149-5992
DOI
StatusUdgivet - jan. 2012

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