Abstract
We use a time-varying structural vector autoregression to investigate evolving dynamics of the real exchange rate for the UK, euro area and Canada. We show that demand and nominal shocks have a substantially larger impact on the real exchange rate after the mid 1980s. Real exchange rate volatility, relative to fundamentals, also shows a marked increase after this point in time. However, there is some evidence suggesting a closer business cycle co-movement of the real exchange rate and fundamentals. Simulations from an open-economy DSGE model show that these results are consistent with a decline in exchange rate pass-through.
Original language | English |
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Journal | Journal of Applied Econometrics |
Volume | 28 |
Issue number | 3 |
Pages (from-to) | 498–525 |
ISSN | 0883-7252 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | Published - 2013 |
Externally published | Yes |