The Influence of Late Quaternary Climate-Change Velocity on Species Endemism

Brody Steven Sandel; Lars Arge; Bo Dalsgaard; Richard G. Davies; Kevin J. Gaston; William J.  Sutherland; Jens-Christian Svenning

doi:10.1126/science.1210173

The Influence of Late Quaternary Climate-Change Velocity on Species Endemism

Brody Steven Sandel, Lars Arge, Bo Dalsgaard, Richard G. Davies, Kevin J. Gaston, William J. Sutherland, Jens-Christian Svenning

455 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

The effects of climate change on biodiversity should depend in part on climate displacement rate (climate-change velocity) and its interaction with species' capacity to migrate. We estimated Late Quaternary glacial-interglacial climate-change velocity by integrating macroclimatic shifts since the Last Glacial Maximum with topoclimatic gradients. Globally, areas with high velocities were associated with marked absences of small-ranged amphibians, mammals, and birds. The association between endemism and velocity was weakest in the highly vagile birds and strongest in the weakly dispersing amphibians, linking dispersal ability to extinction risk due to climate change. High velocity was also associated with low endemism at regional scales, especially in wet and aseasonal regions. Overall, we show that low-velocity areas are essential refuges for Earth's many small-ranged species.

Original language	English
Journal	Science
Volume	334
Pages (from-to)	660-664
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1210173
Publication status	Published - 4 Nov 2011
Externally published	Yes

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http://www.sciencemag.org/content/334/6056/660

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title = "The Influence of Late Quaternary Climate-Change Velocity on Species Endemism",

abstract = "The effects of climate change on biodiversity should depend in part on climate displacement rate (climate-change velocity) and its interaction with species' capacity to migrate. We estimated Late Quaternary glacial-interglacial climate-change velocity by integrating macroclimatic shifts since the Last Glacial Maximum with topoclimatic gradients. Globally, areas with high velocities were associated with marked absences of small-ranged amphibians, mammals, and birds. The association between endemism and velocity was weakest in the highly vagile birds and strongest in the weakly dispersing amphibians, linking dispersal ability to extinction risk due to climate change. High velocity was also associated with low endemism at regional scales, especially in wet and aseasonal regions. Overall, we show that low-velocity areas are essential refuges for Earth's many small-ranged species.",

author = "Sandel, {Brody Steven} and Lars Arge and Bo Dalsgaard and Davies, {Richard G.} and Gaston, {Kevin J.} and Sutherland, {William J.} and Jens-Christian Svenning",

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T1 - The Influence of Late Quaternary Climate-Change Velocity on Species Endemism

AU - Sandel, Brody Steven

AU - Arge, Lars

AU - Dalsgaard, Bo

AU - Davies, Richard G.

AU - Gaston, Kevin J.

AU - Sutherland, William J.

AU - Svenning, Jens-Christian

PY - 2011/11/4

Y1 - 2011/11/4

N2 - The effects of climate change on biodiversity should depend in part on climate displacement rate (climate-change velocity) and its interaction with species' capacity to migrate. We estimated Late Quaternary glacial-interglacial climate-change velocity by integrating macroclimatic shifts since the Last Glacial Maximum with topoclimatic gradients. Globally, areas with high velocities were associated with marked absences of small-ranged amphibians, mammals, and birds. The association between endemism and velocity was weakest in the highly vagile birds and strongest in the weakly dispersing amphibians, linking dispersal ability to extinction risk due to climate change. High velocity was also associated with low endemism at regional scales, especially in wet and aseasonal regions. Overall, we show that low-velocity areas are essential refuges for Earth's many small-ranged species.

AB - The effects of climate change on biodiversity should depend in part on climate displacement rate (climate-change velocity) and its interaction with species' capacity to migrate. We estimated Late Quaternary glacial-interglacial climate-change velocity by integrating macroclimatic shifts since the Last Glacial Maximum with topoclimatic gradients. Globally, areas with high velocities were associated with marked absences of small-ranged amphibians, mammals, and birds. The association between endemism and velocity was weakest in the highly vagile birds and strongest in the weakly dispersing amphibians, linking dispersal ability to extinction risk due to climate change. High velocity was also associated with low endemism at regional scales, especially in wet and aseasonal regions. Overall, we show that low-velocity areas are essential refuges for Earth's many small-ranged species.

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DO - 10.1126/science.1210173

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VL - 334

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JF - Science

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The Influence of Late Quaternary Climate-Change Velocity on Species Endemism

Abstract

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