Testing exact rational expectations in cointegrated vector autoregressive models

Søren Johansen, Anders Rygh Swensen

32 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

This paper considers the testing of restrictions implied by rational expectations hypotheses in a cointegrated vector autoregressive model for I(1) variables. If the rational expectations involve one-step-ahead observations only and the coefficients are known, an explicit parameterization of the restrictions is found, and the maximum-likelihood estimator is derived by regression and reduced rank regression. An application is given to a present value model.
Original languageEnglish
JournalJournal of Econometrics
Volume93
Issue number1
Pages (from-to)73-91
Number of pages9
ISSN0304-4076
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1999

Keywords

  • Faculty of Social Sciences
  • VAR model
  • cointegration

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