Simultaneous small-sample comparisons in longitudinal or multi-endpoint trials using multiple marginal models

Philip Pallmann, Christian Ritz, Ludwig A Hothorn

Abstract

Simultaneous inference in longitudinal, repeated-measures, and multi-endpoint designs can be onerous, especially when trying to find a reasonable joint model from which the interesting effects and covariances are estimated. A novel statistical approach known as multiple marginal models greatly simplifies the modelling process: the core idea is to "marginalise" the problem and fit multiple small models to different portions of the data, and then estimate the overall covariance matrix in a subsequent, separate step. Using these estimates guarantees strong control of the family-wise error rate, however only asymptotically. In this paper, we show how to make the approach also applicable to small-sample data problems. Specifically, we discuss the computation of adjusted P values and simultaneous confidence bounds for comparisons of randomised treatment groups as well as for levels of a nonrandomised factor such as multiple endpoints, repeated measures, or a series of points in time or space. We illustrate the practical use of the method with a data example.

Original languageEnglish
JournalStatistics in Medicine
Volume37
Issue number9
Pages (from-to)1562-1576
Number of pages15
ISSN0277-6715
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 30 Apr 2018

Keywords

  • Correlated data
  • Degrees of freedom
  • Linear mixed-effects model
  • Multiple contrast test

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