Significant decrease in yield under future climate conditions: stability and production of 138 spring barley accessions

Cathrine Heinz Ingvordsen, Gunter Backes, Michael Foged Lyngkjær, Pirjo Peltonen-Sainio, Jens Due Jensen, Marja Jalli, Ahmed Jahoor, Morten Rasmussen, Teis Nørgaard Mikkelsen, Anders Stockmarr, Rikke Bagger Jørgensen

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Abstract

The response in production parameters to projected future levels of temperature, atmospheric carbon dioxide ([CO2]), and ozone ([O3]) was investigated in 138 spring barley accessions. The comprehensive set of landraces, cultivars, and breeder-lines, were during their entire life cycle exposed to a two-factor treatment of combined elevated temperature (+5°C day/night) and [CO2] (700ppm), as well as single-factor treatments of elevated temperature (+5°C day/night), [CO2] (700ppm), and [O3] (100-150ppb). The control treatment was equivalent to present average South Scandinavian climate (temperature: 19/12°C (day/night), [CO2]: 385ppm). Overall grain yield was found to decrease 29% in the two-factor treatment with concurrent elevation of [CO2] and temperature, and this response could not be predicted from the results of treatments with elevated [CO2] and temperature as single factors, where grain yield increased 16% and decreased 56%, respectively. Elevated [O3] was found to decrease grain yield by 15%. Substantial variation in response to the applied climate treatments was found between the accessions. The results revealed landraces, cultivars, and breeder-lines with phenotypes applicable for breeding towards stable and high yield under future climate conditions. Further, we suggest identifying resources for breeding under multifactor climate conditions, as single-factor treatments did not accurately forecast the response, when factors were combined.

Original languageEnglish
JournalEuropean Journal of Agronomy
Volume63
Pages (from-to)105-113
Number of pages9
ISSN1161-0301
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Feb 2015

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Ingvordsen, C. H., Backes, G., Lyngkjær, M. F., Peltonen-Sainio, P., Jensen, J. D., Jalli, M., Jahoor, A., Rasmussen, M., Mikkelsen, T. N., Stockmarr, A., & Bagger Jørgensen, R. (2015). Significant decrease in yield under future climate conditions: stability and production of 138 spring barley accessions. European Journal of Agronomy, 63, 105-113. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eja.2014.12.003