Significant decrease in yield under future climate conditions: stability and production of 138 spring barley accessions

Cathrine Heinz Ingvordsen, Gunter Backes, Michael Foged Lyngkjær, Pirjo Peltonen-Sainio, Jens Due Jensen, Marja Jalli, Ahmed Jahoor, Morten Rasmussen, Teis Nørgaard Mikkelsen, Anders Stockmarr, Rikke Bagger Jørgensen

23 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

The response in production parameters to projected future levels of temperature, atmospheric carbon dioxide ([CO2]), and ozone ([O3]) was investigated in 138 spring barley accessions. The comprehensive set of landraces, cultivars, and breeder-lines, were during their entire life cycle exposed to a two-factor treatment of combined elevated temperature (+5°C day/night) and [CO2] (700ppm), as well as single-factor treatments of elevated temperature (+5°C day/night), [CO2] (700ppm), and [O3] (100-150ppb). The control treatment was equivalent to present average South Scandinavian climate (temperature: 19/12°C (day/night), [CO2]: 385ppm). Overall grain yield was found to decrease 29% in the two-factor treatment with concurrent elevation of [CO2] and temperature, and this response could not be predicted from the results of treatments with elevated [CO2] and temperature as single factors, where grain yield increased 16% and decreased 56%, respectively. Elevated [O3] was found to decrease grain yield by 15%. Substantial variation in response to the applied climate treatments was found between the accessions. The results revealed landraces, cultivars, and breeder-lines with phenotypes applicable for breeding towards stable and high yield under future climate conditions. Further, we suggest identifying resources for breeding under multifactor climate conditions, as single-factor treatments did not accurately forecast the response, when factors were combined.

Original languageEnglish
JournalEuropean Journal of Agronomy
Volume63
Pages (from-to)105-113
Number of pages9
ISSN1161-0301
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Feb 2015

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