Predicting delay in residents' decisions on defending v. evacuating through antecedents of decision avoidance

TY - JOUR

T1 - Predicting delay in residents' decisions on defending v. evacuating through antecedents of decision avoidance

AU - McNeill, Ilona M.

AU - Dunlop, Patrick D.

AU - Skinner, Timothy C.

AU - Morrison, David L.

PY - 2015/1/1

Y1 - 2015/1/1

N2 - In the event of a wildfire, Australian residents of wildfire-prone areas have a choice to defend their home or evacuate early. However, rather than deciding on and preparing for one of these fire-responses ahead of time, most residents delay deciding on defending v. evacuating (e.g. they wait and see instead). Recent research has shown that delaying this decision is associated with reduced levels of preparedness for both responses and on the day of a fire, an increased risk to life and property. The current study empirically examined what predicts this decision delay regarding one's fire-response by measuring two personality traits and several decision-related factors. A longitudinal survey study of residents of multiple wildfire-prone areas in Western Australia showed that the strongest predictor of delaying their decision to defend v. evacuate was a lack of difference in perceived values of defending v. evacuating. These findings have important implications for the design of interventions to reduce the risks associated with such delay. For one, agencies could utilise residents' value base to reduce decision delay. Alternatively, they could focus on the formation of proper contingency plans and stress the necessity to prepare well for both defending and evacuating.

AB - In the event of a wildfire, Australian residents of wildfire-prone areas have a choice to defend their home or evacuate early. However, rather than deciding on and preparing for one of these fire-responses ahead of time, most residents delay deciding on defending v. evacuating (e.g. they wait and see instead). Recent research has shown that delaying this decision is associated with reduced levels of preparedness for both responses and on the day of a fire, an increased risk to life and property. The current study empirically examined what predicts this decision delay regarding one's fire-response by measuring two personality traits and several decision-related factors. A longitudinal survey study of residents of multiple wildfire-prone areas in Western Australia showed that the strongest predictor of delaying their decision to defend v. evacuate was a lack of difference in perceived values of defending v. evacuating. These findings have important implications for the design of interventions to reduce the risks associated with such delay. For one, agencies could utilise residents' value base to reduce decision delay. Alternatively, they could focus on the formation of proper contingency plans and stress the necessity to prepare well for both defending and evacuating.

KW - bushfire

KW - community safety

KW - decision making

KW - delay

KW - indecision

KW - natural hazards

KW - procrastination

KW - risk mitigation

KW - survival

KW - wildfire

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=84925279132&partnerID=8YFLogxK

U2 - 10.1071/wf12213

DO - 10.1071/wf12213

M3 - Journal article

AN - SCOPUS:84925279132

SN - 1049-8001

VL - 24

SP - 153

EP - 161

JO - International Journal of Wildland Fire

JF - International Journal of Wildland Fire

IS - 2

ER -