No firm evidence that lack of blinding affects estimates of mortality in randomized clinical trials of intensive care interventions: a systematic review and meta-analysis

TY - JOUR

T1 - No firm evidence that lack of blinding affects estimates of mortality in randomized clinical trials of intensive care interventions

T2 - a systematic review and meta-analysis

AU - Anthon, Carl Thomas

AU - Granholm, Anders

AU - Perner, Anders

AU - Laake, Jon Henrik

AU - Møller, Morten Hylander

PY - 2018/8

Y1 - 2018/8

N2 - Objective: To evaluate the effect of blinding on mortality effect estimates in randomized clinical trials (RCTs) in adult intensive care unit (ICU) patients. Study Design and Setting: A systematic review and meta-analysis of RCTs reporting mortality effect estimates of ICU interventions in adult ICU patients. We assessed differences in summarized risk ratios with 95% confidence intervals between blinded and unblinded RCTs. P < 0.10 was considered statistically significant (test of interaction). Results: We included 22 ICU interventions assessed in 269 RCTs enrolling a total of 42,007 adult ICU patients in the primary analyses. We observed statistically significant differences between blinded and unblinded RCTs for all-cause mortality at longest follow-up in one of 22 interventions (5%), for in-hospital mortality in one of 12 interventions (8%) but not for in-ICU mortality. Combining all interventions, unblinded trials reported larger summary effect estimates on all-cause mortality at longest follow-up compared to blinded trials (test of interaction, P = 0.09). However, the difference was not statistically significant following adjustment for other risk of bias domains. Conclusions: We observed no firm evidence that lack of blinding affects estimates of mortality in RCTs of ICU interventions.

AB - Objective: To evaluate the effect of blinding on mortality effect estimates in randomized clinical trials (RCTs) in adult intensive care unit (ICU) patients. Study Design and Setting: A systematic review and meta-analysis of RCTs reporting mortality effect estimates of ICU interventions in adult ICU patients. We assessed differences in summarized risk ratios with 95% confidence intervals between blinded and unblinded RCTs. P < 0.10 was considered statistically significant (test of interaction). Results: We included 22 ICU interventions assessed in 269 RCTs enrolling a total of 42,007 adult ICU patients in the primary analyses. We observed statistically significant differences between blinded and unblinded RCTs for all-cause mortality at longest follow-up in one of 22 interventions (5%), for in-hospital mortality in one of 12 interventions (8%) but not for in-ICU mortality. Combining all interventions, unblinded trials reported larger summary effect estimates on all-cause mortality at longest follow-up compared to blinded trials (test of interaction, P = 0.09). However, the difference was not statistically significant following adjustment for other risk of bias domains. Conclusions: We observed no firm evidence that lack of blinding affects estimates of mortality in RCTs of ICU interventions.

U2 - 10.1016/j.jclinepi.2018.04.016

DO - 10.1016/j.jclinepi.2018.04.016

M3 - Review

C2 - 29705093

SN - 0895-4356

VL - 100

SP - 71

EP - 81

JO - Journal of Clinical Epidemiology

JF - Journal of Clinical Epidemiology

ER -