First-time boost beats experience: The effect of past eligibility on turnout. Electoral Studies

Yosef Bhatti; Kasper Møller Hansen; Hanna Wass

doi:10.1016/j.electstud.2015.12.005

First-time boost beats experience: The effect of past eligibility on turnout. Electoral Studies

Yosef Bhatti, Kasper Møller Hansen, Hanna Wass

12 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Recent findings from the US indicate a clear positive causal effect of past eligibility on voting in subsequent elections. Based on individual-level register data from four elections held in Denmark and Finland, we find that past eligibility either decreases voting propensity or has a zero effect among young voters. The hype associated with the first elections thus appears to cancel out the habit among young adults in countries where the institutional barriers against voting are weak. Moreover, differences across the types of elections can be noted. The negative effect of past eligibility is strongest in elections characterized by low saliency, implying that high-salient elections mobilize all voters equally and therefore narrow the gap between first and second-time eligible voters.

Original language	English
Article number	14
Journal	Electoral Studies
Volume	41
Issue number	March
Pages (from-to)	151-158
Number of pages	7
ISSN	0261-3794
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2015.12.005
Publication status	Published - 1 Mar 2016

Keywords

Faculty of Social Sciences
Past eligibility
Habitual voting
First-time hype
Regression discontinuity design

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10.1016/j.electstud.2015.12.005

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title = "First-time boost beats experience: The effect of past eligibility on turnout. Electoral Studies",

abstract = "Recent findings from the US indicate a clear positive causal effect of past eligibility on voting in subsequent elections. Based on individual-level register data from four elections held in Denmark and Finland, we find that past eligibility either decreases voting propensity or has a zero effect among young voters. The hype associated with the first elections thus appears to cancel out the habit among young adults in countries where the institutional barriers against voting are weak. Moreover, differences across the types of elections can be noted. The negative effect of past eligibility is strongest in elections characterized by low saliency, implying that high-salient elections mobilize all voters equally and therefore narrow the gap between first and second-time eligible voters.",

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AU - Bhatti, Yosef

AU - Hansen, Kasper Møller

AU - Wass, Hanna

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Y1 - 2016/3/1

N2 - Recent findings from the US indicate a clear positive causal effect of past eligibility on voting in subsequent elections. Based on individual-level register data from four elections held in Denmark and Finland, we find that past eligibility either decreases voting propensity or has a zero effect among young voters. The hype associated with the first elections thus appears to cancel out the habit among young adults in countries where the institutional barriers against voting are weak. Moreover, differences across the types of elections can be noted. The negative effect of past eligibility is strongest in elections characterized by low saliency, implying that high-salient elections mobilize all voters equally and therefore narrow the gap between first and second-time eligible voters.

AB - Recent findings from the US indicate a clear positive causal effect of past eligibility on voting in subsequent elections. Based on individual-level register data from four elections held in Denmark and Finland, we find that past eligibility either decreases voting propensity or has a zero effect among young voters. The hype associated with the first elections thus appears to cancel out the habit among young adults in countries where the institutional barriers against voting are weak. Moreover, differences across the types of elections can be noted. The negative effect of past eligibility is strongest in elections characterized by low saliency, implying that high-salient elections mobilize all voters equally and therefore narrow the gap between first and second-time eligible voters.

KW - Faculty of Social Sciences

KW - Past eligibility

KW - Habitual voting

KW - First-time hype

KW - Regression discontinuity design

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DO - 10.1016/j.electstud.2015.12.005

M3 - Journal article

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EP - 158

JO - Electoral Studies

JF - Electoral Studies

IS - March

M1 - 14

ER -

First-time boost beats experience: The effect of past eligibility on turnout. Electoral Studies

Abstract

Keywords

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