EC-Earth: A seamless Earth-system prediction approach in action

Wilco Hazeleger*, Camiel Severijns, Tido Semmler, Simona Ştefǎnescu, Shuting Yang, Xueli Wang, Klaus Wyser, Emanuel Dutra, José M. Baldasano, Richard Bintanja, Philippe Bougeault, Rodrigo Caballero, Annica M.L. Ekman, Jens H. Christensen, Bart Van Den Hurk, Pedro Jimenez, Colin Jones, Per Kållberg, Torben Koenigk, Ray McGrathPedro Miranda, Twan Van Noije, Tim Palmer, José A. Parodi, Torben Schmith, Frank Selten, Trude Storelvmo, Andreas Sterl, Honoré Tapamo, Martin Vancoppenolle, Pedro Viterbo, Ulrika Willén

*Corresponding author for this work
333 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

The EC-Earth consortium is a grouping of meteorologists and Earth-system scientists from 10 European countries, put together to face the challenges of climate and weather forecasting. The NWP system of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECWMF) forms the basis of the EC-Earth Earth-system model. NWP models are designed to accurately capture short-term atmospheric fluctuations. They are used for forecasts at daily-to-seasonal time scales and include data assimilation capabilities. Climate models are designed to represent the global coupled ocean-atmosphere system. The atmospheric model of EC-Earth version 2, is based on ECMWF's Integrated Forecasting System (IFS), cycle 31R1, corresponding to the current seasonal forecast system of ECMWF. The EC-Earth consortium and ECMWF are collaborating on development of initialization procedures to improve long-term predictions. The EC-Earth model displays good performance from daily up to inter-annual time scales and for long-term mean climate.

Original languageEnglish
JournalBulletin of the American Meteorological Society
Volume91
Issue number10
Pages (from-to)1357-1363
Number of pages7
ISSN0003-0007
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Oct 2010
Externally publishedYes

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