Deteriorating renal function and clinical outcomes in HIV-positive persons

Amanda Mocroft, Lene Ryom, Josip Begovac, Antonella D'Arminio Monforte, Anne Vassilenko, Jose Gatell, Eric Florence, Vidar Ormaasen, Ole Kirk, Jens D Lundgren, EuroSIDA in EuroCoord

18 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

OBJECTIVES: To determine the relationship between measures of renal function [current estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and proportion of follow-up with a low eGFR (%FU ≤60 ml/min)] and fatal/ nonfatal AIDS, non-AIDS events and all-cause mortality.

DESIGN: An observational, longitudinal cohort study of 12 155 persons from EuroSIDA.

METHODS: Persons with at least one eGFR measurement after 1 January 2004, using the CKD-EPI formula, were included. Poisson regression analyses were used to determine whether current eGFR or %FU of 60 ml/min or less were independent prognostic markers for clinical events.

RESULTS: During 61 425 person-years of follow-up (PYFU), the crude incidence of deaths was 11.1/1000 PYFU [95% confidence interval (CI) 10.0-12.1] at current eGFR more than 90 ml/min and 199.6 (95% CI 1144.3-254.3/1000 PYFU) when current eGFR was 30 ml/min or less. Corresponding figures for AIDS were 12.2 (11.1-13.3) and 63.9 (36.5-103.7) and for non-AIDS were 16.0 (14.8-17.3) and 203.6 (147.7-259.5). After adjustment, current eGFR of 30 ml/min or less was a strong predictor of death [adjusted incidence rate ratios (aIRR) 4.35; 95% CI 3.20-5.91] and non-AIDS events (3.63; 95% CI 2.57-5.13), although the relationship with AIDS was less strong (1.45; 95% CI 1.01-2.08). After adjustment, %FU of 60 ml/min or less was associated with a 22% increased incidence of death (aIRR 1.22 per 10% longer; 95% CI 1.18-1.27), a 13% increased incidence of non-AIDS events (95% CI 1.08-1.18) and a 15% increased incidence of AIDS events (95% CI 1.06-1.24).

CONCLUSION: Both current eGFR and %FU of 60 ml/min or less were associated with death and non-AIDS events in HIV-positive persons. Our findings highlight the association between underlying renal dysfunction and morbidity and mortality in HIV infection, although reverse causality cannot be excluded.

Original languageEnglish
JournalAIDS
Volume28
Issue number5
Pages (from-to)727-37
Number of pages11
ISSN0269-9370
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 13 Mar 2014

Keywords

  • AIDS-Associated Nephropathy
  • Adult
  • Cohort Studies
  • Female
  • Glomerular Filtration Rate
  • HIV Infections
  • Humans
  • Longitudinal Studies
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Prognosis
  • Renal Insufficiency
  • Survival Analysis

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