Abstract
We describe a method that infers whether statistical dependences between two observed variables X and Y are due to a \direct" causal link or only due to a connecting causal path that contains an unobserved variable of low complexity, e.g., a binary variable. This problem is motivated by statistical genetics. Given a genetic marker that is correlated with a phenotype of interest, we want to detect whether this marker is causal or it only correlates with a causal one. Our method is based on the analysis of the location of the conditional distributions P(Y /x) in the simplex of all distributions of Y . We report encouraging results on semi-empirical data.
Original language | Undefined/Unknown |
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Title of host publication | Proceedings of the 27th Annual Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence (UAI) |
Number of pages | 9 |
Publication date | 2011 |
Pages | 383-391 |
Publication status | Published - 2011 |
Externally published | Yes |