Demand for alternative-fuel vehicles when registration taxes are high

Stefan L. Mabit*, Mogens Fosgerau

*Corresponding author for this work
105 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

This paper investigates the potential futures for alternative-fuel vehicles in Denmark, where the vehicle registration tax is very high and large tax rebates can be given. A large stated choice dataset has been collected concerning vehicle choice among conventional, hydrogen, hybrid, bio-diesel, and electric vehicles. We estimate a mixed logit model that improves on previous contributions by controlling for reference dependence and allowing for correlation of random effects. Both improvements are found to be important. An application of the model shows that alternative-fuel vehicles with present technology could obtain fairly high market shares given tax regulations possible in the present high-tax vehicle market.

Original languageEnglish
JournalTransportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment
Volume16
Issue number3
Pages (from-to)225-231
Number of pages7
ISSN1361-9209
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - May 2011

Keywords

  • Alternative-fuel vehicles
  • Stated preference
  • Sustainable road transport
  • Vehicle choice

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