A second horizon scan of biogeography: golden ages, Midas touches, and the Red Queen

Michael N. Dawson*, Jan C. Axmacher, Carl Beierkuhnlein, Jessica Blois, Bethany A. Bradley, Anna F. Cord, Jürgen Dengler, Kate S. He, Lawrence R. Heaney, Roland Jansson, Miguel D. Mahecha, Corinne Myers, David Bravo Nogues, Anna Papadopoulou, Björn Reu, Francisco Rodríguez-Sánchez, Manuel J. Steinbauer, Alycia Stigall, Mao Ning Tuanmu, Daniel G. Gavin

*Corresponding author for this work
    4 Citations (Scopus)
    89 Downloads (Pure)

    Abstract

    Are we entering a new 'Golden Age' of biogeography, with continued development of infrastructure and ideas? We highlight recent developments, and the challenges and opportunities they bring, in light of the snapshot provided by the 7th biennial meeting of the International Biogeography Society (IBS 2015). We summarize themes in and across 15 symposia using narrative analysis and word clouds, which we complement with recent publication trends and 'research fronts'. We find that biogeography is still strongly defined by core sub-disciplines that reflect its origins in botanical, zoological (particularly bird and mammal), and geographic (e.g., island, montane) studies of the 1800s. That core is being enriched by large datasets (e.g. of environmental variables, 'omics', species' occurrences, traits) and new techniques (e.g., advances in genetics, remote sensing, modeling) that promote studies with increasing detail and at increasing scales; disciplinary breadth is being diversified (e.g., by developments in paleobiogeography and microbiology) and integrated through the transfer of approaches and sharing of theory (e.g., spatial modeling and phylogenetics in evolutionary-ecological contexts). Yet some subdisciplines remain on the fringe (e.g., marine biogeography, deep-time paleobiogeography), new horizons and new theory may be overshadowed by popular techniques (e.g., species distribution modelling), and hypotheses, data, and analyses may each be wanting. Trends in publication suggest a shift away from traditional biogeography journals to multidisciplinary or open access journals. Thus, there are currently many opportunities and challenges as biogeography increasingly addresses human impacts on, and stewardship of, the planet (e.g., Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services). As in the past, biogeographers doubtless will continue to be engaged by new data and methods in exploring the nexus between biology and geography for decades into the future. But golden ages come and go, and they need not touch every domain in a discipline nor affect subdisciplines at the same time; moreover, what appears to be a Golden Age may sometimes have an undesirable 'Midas touch'. Contexts within and outwith biogeography-e.g., methods, knowledge, climate, biodiversity, politics-are continually changing, and at times it can be challenging to establish or maintain relevance. In so many races with the Red Queen, we suggest that biogeography will enjoy greatest success if we also increasingly engage with the epistemology of our discipline.

    Original languageEnglish
    Article numbere29770
    JournalFrontiers of Biogeography
    Volume8
    Issue number4
    Number of pages30
    ISSN1948-6596
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - 2016

    Keywords

    • Anthropocene
    • Biodiversity conservation
    • Birds
    • Ecoinformatics
    • Functional diversity
    • Island biogeography
    • Macroecology
    • Mammals
    • Paleoecology
    • Phylogenetics
    • Plants
    • Species distribution modelling (SDM)

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