Reducing emissions from agriculture to meet the 2 °C target

Eva Wollenberg; Meryl  Richards; Pete Smith; Petr  Havlik; Michael Obersteiner; Francesco N. Tubiello; Martin Herold; Pierre Gerber; Sarah Carter; Andrew Reisinger; Detlef P. van Vuuren; Amy Dickie; Henry Neufeldt; Bjoern Ole Sander; Reiner Wassmann; Rolf Sommer; James E. Amonette; Alessandra Falcucci; Mario Herrero; Carolyn Opio; Rosa Maria Roman-Cuesta; Elke Stehfest; Henk Westhoek; Ivan Ortiz-Monasterio; Tek Sapkota; Mariana C. Rufino; Philip K. Thornton; Louis V. Verchot; Paul C. West; Jean-Francois Soussana; Tobias Baedeker; Marc Sadler; Sonja Joy Vermeulen; Bruce Morgan Campbell

doi:10.1111/gcb.13340

Reducing emissions from agriculture to meet the 2 °C target

Eva Wollenberg^*, Meryl Richards, Pete Smith, Petr Havlik, Michael Obersteiner, Francesco N. Tubiello, Martin Herold, Pierre Gerber, Sarah Carter, Andrew Reisinger, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Amy Dickie, Henry Neufeldt, Bjoern Ole Sander, Reiner Wassmann, Rolf Sommer, James E. Amonette, Alessandra Falcucci, Mario Herrero, Carolyn OpioRosa Maria Roman-Cuesta, Elke Stehfest, Henk Westhoek, Ivan Ortiz-Monasterio, Tek Sapkota, Mariana C. Rufino, Philip K. Thornton, Louis V. Verchot, Paul C. West, Jean-Francois Soussana, Tobias Baedeker, Marc Sadler, Sonja Joy Vermeulen, Bruce Morgan Campbell

^*Corresponding author af dette arbejde

Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS)

152 Citationer (Scopus)

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Abstract

More than 100 countries pledged to reduce agricultural greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in the 2015 Paris Agreement of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. Yet technical information about how much mitigation is needed in the sector vs. how much is feasible remains poor. We identify a preliminary global target for reducing emissions from agriculture of ~1 GtCO₂e yr⁻¹ by 2030 to limit warming in 2100 to 2 °C above pre-industrial levels. Yet plausible agricultural development pathways with mitigation cobenefits deliver only 21–40% of needed mitigation. The target indicates that more transformative technical and policy options will be needed, such as methane inhibitors and finance for new practices. A more comprehensive target for the 2 °C limit should be developed to include soil carbon and agriculture-related mitigation options. Excluding agricultural emissions from mitigation targets and plans will increase the cost of mitigation in other sectors or reduce the feasibility of meeting the 2 °C limit.

Originalsprog	Engelsk
Tidsskrift	Global Change Biology
Vol/bind	22
Udgave nummer	12
Sider (fra-til)	3859-3864
Antal sider	6
ISSN	1354-1013
DOI	https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13340
Status	Udgivet - 2016

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Wollenberg, E., Richards, M., Smith, P., Havlik, P., Obersteiner, M., Tubiello, F. N., Herold, M., Gerber, P., Carter, S., Reisinger, A., van Vuuren, D. P., Dickie, A., Neufeldt, H., Sander, B. O., Wassmann, R., Sommer, R., Amonette, J. E., Falcucci, A., Herrero, M., ... Campbell, B. M. (2016). Reducing emissions from agriculture to meet the 2 °C target. Global Change Biology, 22(12), 3859-3864. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13340

Wollenberg, E, Richards, M, Smith, P, Havlik, P, Obersteiner, M, Tubiello, FN, Herold, M, Gerber, P, Carter, S, Reisinger, A, van Vuuren, DP, Dickie, A, Neufeldt, H, Sander, BO, Wassmann, R, Sommer, R, Amonette, JE, Falcucci, A, Herrero, M, Opio, C, Roman-Cuesta, RM, Stehfest, E, Westhoek, H, Ortiz-Monasterio, I, Sapkota, T, Rufino, MC, Thornton, PK, Verchot, LV, West, PC, Soussana, J-F, Baedeker, T, Sadler, M, Vermeulen, SJ & Campbell, BM 2016, 'Reducing emissions from agriculture to meet the 2 °C target', Global Change Biology, bind 22, nr. 12, s. 3859-3864. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13340

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title = "Reducing emissions from agriculture to meet the 2 °C target",

abstract = "More than 100 countries pledged to reduce agricultural greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in the 2015 Paris Agreement of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. Yet technical information about how much mitigation is needed in the sector vs. how much is feasible remains poor. We identify a preliminary global target for reducing emissions from agriculture of ~1 GtCO2e yr−1 by 2030 to limit warming in 2100 to 2 °C above pre-industrial levels. Yet plausible agricultural development pathways with mitigation cobenefits deliver only 21–40% of needed mitigation. The target indicates that more transformative technical and policy options will be needed, such as methane inhibitors and finance for new practices. A more comprehensive target for the 2 °C limit should be developed to include soil carbon and agriculture-related mitigation options. Excluding agricultural emissions from mitigation targets and plans will increase the cost of mitigation in other sectors or reduce the feasibility of meeting the 2 °C limit.",

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author = "Eva Wollenberg and Meryl Richards and Pete Smith and Petr Havlik and Michael Obersteiner and Tubiello, {Francesco N.} and Martin Herold and Pierre Gerber and Sarah Carter and Andrew Reisinger and {van Vuuren}, {Detlef P.} and Amy Dickie and Henry Neufeldt and Sander, {Bjoern Ole} and Reiner Wassmann and Rolf Sommer and Amonette, {James E.} and Alessandra Falcucci and Mario Herrero and Carolyn Opio and Roman-Cuesta, {Rosa Maria} and Elke Stehfest and Henk Westhoek and Ivan Ortiz-Monasterio and Tek Sapkota and Rufino, {Mariana C.} and Thornton, {Philip K.} and Verchot, {Louis V.} and West, {Paul C.} and Jean-Francois Soussana and Tobias Baedeker and Marc Sadler and Vermeulen, {Sonja Joy} and Campbell, {Bruce Morgan}",

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doi = "10.1111/gcb.13340",

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AU - Wollenberg, Eva

AU - Richards, Meryl

AU - Smith, Pete

AU - Havlik, Petr

AU - Obersteiner, Michael

AU - Tubiello, Francesco N.

AU - Herold, Martin

AU - Gerber, Pierre

AU - Carter, Sarah

AU - Reisinger, Andrew

AU - van Vuuren, Detlef P.

AU - Dickie, Amy

AU - Neufeldt, Henry

AU - Sander, Bjoern Ole

AU - Wassmann, Reiner

AU - Sommer, Rolf

AU - Amonette, James E.

AU - Falcucci, Alessandra

AU - Herrero, Mario

AU - Opio, Carolyn

AU - Roman-Cuesta, Rosa Maria

AU - Stehfest, Elke

AU - Westhoek, Henk

AU - Ortiz-Monasterio, Ivan

AU - Sapkota, Tek

AU - Rufino, Mariana C.

AU - Thornton, Philip K.

AU - Verchot, Louis V.

AU - West, Paul C.

AU - Soussana, Jean-Francois

AU - Baedeker, Tobias

AU - Sadler, Marc

AU - Vermeulen, Sonja Joy

AU - Campbell, Bruce Morgan

PY - 2016

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N2 - More than 100 countries pledged to reduce agricultural greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in the 2015 Paris Agreement of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. Yet technical information about how much mitigation is needed in the sector vs. how much is feasible remains poor. We identify a preliminary global target for reducing emissions from agriculture of ~1 GtCO2e yr−1 by 2030 to limit warming in 2100 to 2 °C above pre-industrial levels. Yet plausible agricultural development pathways with mitigation cobenefits deliver only 21–40% of needed mitigation. The target indicates that more transformative technical and policy options will be needed, such as methane inhibitors and finance for new practices. A more comprehensive target for the 2 °C limit should be developed to include soil carbon and agriculture-related mitigation options. Excluding agricultural emissions from mitigation targets and plans will increase the cost of mitigation in other sectors or reduce the feasibility of meeting the 2 °C limit.

AB - More than 100 countries pledged to reduce agricultural greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in the 2015 Paris Agreement of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. Yet technical information about how much mitigation is needed in the sector vs. how much is feasible remains poor. We identify a preliminary global target for reducing emissions from agriculture of ~1 GtCO2e yr−1 by 2030 to limit warming in 2100 to 2 °C above pre-industrial levels. Yet plausible agricultural development pathways with mitigation cobenefits deliver only 21–40% of needed mitigation. The target indicates that more transformative technical and policy options will be needed, such as methane inhibitors and finance for new practices. A more comprehensive target for the 2 °C limit should be developed to include soil carbon and agriculture-related mitigation options. Excluding agricultural emissions from mitigation targets and plans will increase the cost of mitigation in other sectors or reduce the feasibility of meeting the 2 °C limit.

KW - agriculture

KW - climate change

KW - integrated assessment modeling

KW - mitigation

KW - policy

KW - target

KW - United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change

U2 - 10.1111/gcb.13340

DO - 10.1111/gcb.13340

M3 - Journal article

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VL - 22

SP - 3859

EP - 3864

JO - Global Change Biology

JF - Global Change Biology

IS - 12

ER -

Reducing emissions from agriculture to meet the 2 °C target

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