TY - JOUR
T1 - Outcomes of influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 virus infection
T2 - results from two international cohort studies
AU - Lynfield, Ruth
AU - Davey, Richard
AU - Dwyer, Dominic E
AU - Losso, Marcelo H
AU - Wentworth, Deborah
AU - Cozzi-Lepri, Alessandro
AU - Herman-Lamin, Kathy
AU - Cholewinska, Grazyna
AU - David, Daniel
AU - Kuetter, Stefan
AU - Ternesgen, Zelalem
AU - Uyeki, Timothy M
AU - Lane, H Clifford
AU - Lundgren, Jens
AU - Neaton, James D
AU - INSIGHT Influenza Study Group
PY - 2014/7/8
Y1 - 2014/7/8
N2 - BACKGROUND: Data from prospectively planned cohort studies on risk of major clinical outcomes and prognostic factors for patients with influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 virus are limited. In 2009, in order to assess outcomes and evaluate risk factors for progression of illness, two cohort studies were initiated: FLU 002 in outpatients and FLU 003 in hospitalized patients.METHODS AND FINDINGS: Between October 2009 and December 2012, adults with influenza-like illness (ILI) were enrolled; outpatients were followed for 14 days and inpatients for 60 days. Disease progression was defined as hospitalization and/or death for outpatients, and hospitalization for >28 days, transfer to intensive care unit (ICU) if enrolled from general ward, and/or death for inpatients. Infection was confirmed by RT-PCR. 590 FLU 002 and 392 FLU 003 patients with influenza A (H1N1)pdm09 were enrolled from 81 sites in 17 countries at 2 days (IQR 1-3) and 6 days (IQR 4-10) following ILI onset, respectively. Disease progression was experienced by 29 (1 death) outpatients (5.1%; 95% CI: 3.4-7.2%) and 80 inpatients [death (32), hospitalization >28 days (43) or ICU transfer (20)] (21.6%; 95% CI: 17.5-26.2%). Disease progression (death) for hospitalized patients was 53.1% (26.6%) and 12.8% (3.8%), respectively, for those enrolled in the ICU and general ward. In pooled analyses for both studies, predictors of disease progression were age, longer duration of symptoms at enrollment and immunosuppression. Patients hospitalized during the pandemic period had a poorer prognosis than in subsequent seasons.CONCLUSIONS: Patients with influenza A(H1N1)pdm09, particularly when requiring hospital admission, are at high risk for disease progression, especially if they are older, immunodeficient, or admitted late in infection. These data reinforce the need for international trials of novel treatment strategies for influenza infection and serve as a reminder of the need to monitor the severity of seasonal and pandemic influenza epidemics globally.TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifiers: FLU 002--NCT01056354, FLU 003--NCT01056185.
AB - BACKGROUND: Data from prospectively planned cohort studies on risk of major clinical outcomes and prognostic factors for patients with influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 virus are limited. In 2009, in order to assess outcomes and evaluate risk factors for progression of illness, two cohort studies were initiated: FLU 002 in outpatients and FLU 003 in hospitalized patients.METHODS AND FINDINGS: Between October 2009 and December 2012, adults with influenza-like illness (ILI) were enrolled; outpatients were followed for 14 days and inpatients for 60 days. Disease progression was defined as hospitalization and/or death for outpatients, and hospitalization for >28 days, transfer to intensive care unit (ICU) if enrolled from general ward, and/or death for inpatients. Infection was confirmed by RT-PCR. 590 FLU 002 and 392 FLU 003 patients with influenza A (H1N1)pdm09 were enrolled from 81 sites in 17 countries at 2 days (IQR 1-3) and 6 days (IQR 4-10) following ILI onset, respectively. Disease progression was experienced by 29 (1 death) outpatients (5.1%; 95% CI: 3.4-7.2%) and 80 inpatients [death (32), hospitalization >28 days (43) or ICU transfer (20)] (21.6%; 95% CI: 17.5-26.2%). Disease progression (death) for hospitalized patients was 53.1% (26.6%) and 12.8% (3.8%), respectively, for those enrolled in the ICU and general ward. In pooled analyses for both studies, predictors of disease progression were age, longer duration of symptoms at enrollment and immunosuppression. Patients hospitalized during the pandemic period had a poorer prognosis than in subsequent seasons.CONCLUSIONS: Patients with influenza A(H1N1)pdm09, particularly when requiring hospital admission, are at high risk for disease progression, especially if they are older, immunodeficient, or admitted late in infection. These data reinforce the need for international trials of novel treatment strategies for influenza infection and serve as a reminder of the need to monitor the severity of seasonal and pandemic influenza epidemics globally.TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifiers: FLU 002--NCT01056354, FLU 003--NCT01056185.
KW - Adult
KW - Cohort Studies
KW - Comorbidity
KW - Disease Progression
KW - Female
KW - Follow-Up Studies
KW - Hospitalization
KW - Humans
KW - Influenza A Virus, H1N1 Subtype
KW - Influenza, Human
KW - Male
KW - Middle Aged
KW - Mortality
KW - Patient Outcome Assessment
KW - Risk Factors
KW - Severity of Illness Index
KW - Young Adult
U2 - 10.1371/journal.pone.0101785
DO - 10.1371/journal.pone.0101785
M3 - Journal article
C2 - 25004134
SN - 1932-6203
VL - 9
SP - 1
EP - 15
JO - PLoS Computational Biology
JF - PLoS Computational Biology
IS - 7
M1 - e101785
ER -