Nonparametric estimation in an "illness-death" model when all transition times are interval censored

Halina Frydman*, Thomas Gerds, Randi Grøn, Niels Keiding

*Corresponding author af dette arbejde
6 Citationer (Scopus)

Abstract

We develop nonparametric maximum likelihood estimation for the parameters of an irreversible Markov chain on states {0,1,2} from the observations with interval censored times of 0 → 1, 0 → 2 and 1 → 2 transitions. The distinguishing aspect of the data is that, in addition to all transition times being interval censored, the times of two events (0 → 1 and 1 → 2 transitions) can be censored into the same interval. This development was motivated by a common data structure in oral health research, here specifically illustrated by the data from a prospective cohort study on the longevity of dental veneers. Using the self-consistency algorithm we obtain the maximum likelihood estimators of the cumulative incidences of the times to events 1 and 2 and of the intensity of the 1 → 2 transition. This work generalizes previous results on the estimation in an "illness-death" model from interval censored observations.
OriginalsprogEngelsk
TidsskriftBiometrical journal. Biometrische Zeitschrift
Vol/bind55
Udgave nummer6
Sider (fra-til)823-43
Antal sider21
DOI
StatusUdgivet - nov. 2013

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