Forty-six years of Greenland Ice Sheet mass balance from 1972 to 2018

Jeremie Mouginot; Eric Rignot; Anders Anker Bjørk; Michiel Van Den Broeke; Romain Millan; Mathieu Morlighem; Brice Noël; Bernd Scheuchl; Michael Wood

doi:10.1073/pnas.1904242116

Forty-six years of Greenland Ice Sheet mass balance from 1972 to 2018

Jeremie Mouginot, Eric Rignot, Anders Anker Bjørk, Michiel Van Den Broeke, Romain Millan, Mathieu Morlighem, Brice Noël, Bernd Scheuchl, Michael Wood

LUKKET: Geografi

161 Citationer (Scopus)

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Abstract

We reconstruct the mass balance of the Greenland Ice Sheet using a comprehensive survey of thickness, surface elevation, velocity, and surface mass balance (SMB) of 260 glaciers from 1972 to 2018. We calculate mass discharge, D, into the ocean directly for 107 glaciers (85% of D) and indirectly for 110 glaciers (15%) using velocity-scaled reference fluxes. The decadal mass balance switched from a mass gain of +47 ± 21 Gt/y in 1972–1980 to a loss of 51 ± 17 Gt/y in 1980–1990. The mass loss increased from 41 ± 17 Gt/y in 1990–2000, to 187 ± 17 Gt/y in 2000–2010, to 286 ± 20 Gt/y in 2010–2018, or sixfold since the 1980s, or 80 ± 6 Gt/y per decade, on average. The acceleration in mass loss switched from positive in 2000–2010 to negative in 2010–2018 due to a series of cold summers, which illustrates the difficulty of extrapolating short records into longer-term trends. Cumulated since 1972, the largest contributions to global sea level rise are from northwest (4.4 ± 0.2 mm), southeast (3.0 ± 0.3 mm), and central west (2.0 ± 0.2 mm) Greenland, with a total 13.7 ± 1.1 mm for the ice sheet. The mass loss is controlled at 66 ± 8% by glacier dynamics (9.1 mm) and 34 ± 8% by SMB (4.6 mm). Even in years of high SMB, enhanced glacier discharge has remained sufficiently high above equilibrium to maintain an annual mass loss every year since 1998.

Originalsprog	Engelsk
Tidsskrift	Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
Vol/bind	116
Udgave nummer	19
Sider (fra-til)	9239-9244
Antal sider	6
ISSN	0027-8424
DOI	https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1904242116
Status	Udgivet - 7 maj 2019

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10.1073/pnas.1904242116Licens: CC BY-NC-ND

Forty-six years of Greenland Ice Sheet mass balance from 1972 to 2018Forlagets udgivne version, 7,59 MBLicens: CC BY-NC-ND

Citationsformater

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AU - Millan, Romain

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AU - Noël, Brice

AU - Scheuchl, Bernd

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AB - We reconstruct the mass balance of the Greenland Ice Sheet using a comprehensive survey of thickness, surface elevation, velocity, and surface mass balance (SMB) of 260 glaciers from 1972 to 2018. We calculate mass discharge, D, into the ocean directly for 107 glaciers (85% of D) and indirectly for 110 glaciers (15%) using velocity-scaled reference fluxes. The decadal mass balance switched from a mass gain of +47 ± 21 Gt/y in 1972–1980 to a loss of 51 ± 17 Gt/y in 1980–1990. The mass loss increased from 41 ± 17 Gt/y in 1990–2000, to 187 ± 17 Gt/y in 2000–2010, to 286 ± 20 Gt/y in 2010–2018, or sixfold since the 1980s, or 80 ± 6 Gt/y per decade, on average. The acceleration in mass loss switched from positive in 2000–2010 to negative in 2010–2018 due to a series of cold summers, which illustrates the difficulty of extrapolating short records into longer-term trends. Cumulated since 1972, the largest contributions to global sea level rise are from northwest (4.4 ± 0.2 mm), southeast (3.0 ± 0.3 mm), and central west (2.0 ± 0.2 mm) Greenland, with a total 13.7 ± 1.1 mm for the ice sheet. The mass loss is controlled at 66 ± 8% by glacier dynamics (9.1 mm) and 34 ± 8% by SMB (4.6 mm). Even in years of high SMB, enhanced glacier discharge has remained sufficiently high above equilibrium to maintain an annual mass loss every year since 1998.

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JO - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America

JF - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America

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ER -

Forty-six years of Greenland Ice Sheet mass balance from 1972 to 2018

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