Ecological aspects of historical and contemporary Swedish and Danish mortality

TY - CHAP

T1 - Ecological aspects of historical and contemporary Swedish and Danish mortality

AU - Hansen, Hans Oluf

PY - 2014

Y1 - 2014

N2 - The quality of professional recording and processing of life data untold, Denmark ranks low in international comparisons of expected length of life at birth in the EEC/EU and among first-world countries. For example, cross-sectional life expectancy has been higher in Sweden than in Denmark since the early 1960s to now. This has been a blow to the national pride. Is the better contemporary Swedish life expectancy associated with selection spurred by different timing of the modern Swedish and Danish long term decline of mortality? Or could it be rooted in more expedient Swedish behavior and better preventive and curative measures introduced in the second half of the twentieth century? Hansen (2013) proposed a multivariate hazard model aiming at separating ecological factors in terms of endogenous biological from exogenous effects in human mortality. He explored some of its analytic potentials by fitting the model to empirical cohort mortality of Swedish males born in 1760 and 1900 using stochastic micro-simulation. The approach and not a few of the results question conventional demographic wisdom and inference based on over-simplifying statistical modeling in the life sciences.This study extends Hansen (2013) to comparative demographic analysis of historical, contemporary and projected of mortality in Sweden and Denmark as compiled and predicted by Statistics Sweden and DREAM/Statistics Denmark and their predecessors.

AB - The quality of professional recording and processing of life data untold, Denmark ranks low in international comparisons of expected length of life at birth in the EEC/EU and among first-world countries. For example, cross-sectional life expectancy has been higher in Sweden than in Denmark since the early 1960s to now. This has been a blow to the national pride. Is the better contemporary Swedish life expectancy associated with selection spurred by different timing of the modern Swedish and Danish long term decline of mortality? Or could it be rooted in more expedient Swedish behavior and better preventive and curative measures introduced in the second half of the twentieth century? Hansen (2013) proposed a multivariate hazard model aiming at separating ecological factors in terms of endogenous biological from exogenous effects in human mortality. He explored some of its analytic potentials by fitting the model to empirical cohort mortality of Swedish males born in 1760 and 1900 using stochastic micro-simulation. The approach and not a few of the results question conventional demographic wisdom and inference based on over-simplifying statistical modeling in the life sciences.This study extends Hansen (2013) to comparative demographic analysis of historical, contemporary and projected of mortality in Sweden and Denmark as compiled and predicted by Statistics Sweden and DREAM/Statistics Denmark and their predecessors.

KW - Faculty of Social Sciences

KW - demografi

KW - stokastisk mikrosimulation

KW - dødelighed

KW - Sverige

KW - Danmark

M3 - Book chapter

SN - 978-87-501-2111-4

SP - 131

EP - 143

BT - Symposium i Anvendt Statistik 2014

A2 - Linde, Peter

PB - Københavns Universitet og Danmarks Statistik

CY - Kbh.

T2 - Symposium i Anvendt Statistik

Y2 - 27 January 2014 through 29 January 2014

ER -