Drivers of European landscape change: stakeholders’ perspectives through Fuzzy Cognitive Mapping

Theo van der Sluis; Bas Arts; Kasper Kok; Marion Bogers; Anne Gravsholt Busck; Kalev Sepp; Isabel Loupa-Ramos; Vangelis Pavlis; Nicoleta Geamana; Emilie Crouzat

doi:10.1080/01426397.2018.1446074

Drivers of European landscape change: stakeholders’ perspectives through Fuzzy Cognitive Mapping

Theo van der Sluis^*, Bas Arts, Kasper Kok, Marion Bogers, Anne Gravsholt Busck, Kalev Sepp, Isabel Loupa-Ramos, Vangelis Pavlis, Nicoleta Geamana, Emilie Crouzat

^*Corresponding author af dette arbejde

LUKKET: Geografi

14 Citationer (Scopus)

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Abstract

Understanding complex processes of landscape change is crucial to guide the development of future landscapes and land resources. Through Fuzzy Cognitive Mapping, we studied the processes of landscape change of six different environmental zones in Europe. Results show that landscapes are complex systems, with many interactions. Except for one, all regions show a strong decline in landscape quality. Dominant drivers are EU policy and the global economy, sometimes in conjunction with environmental drivers or the governance system. The process of change differs for all cases, through urbanisation or land abandonment in some cases, and agricultural intensification in others. The (un)intended effects of policies are difficult to predict. Although some EU Policies directly improve landscape quality, their indirect effects as well as other EU policies outweigh this positive influence and jointly result in a decrease of landscape quality. To counter these negative side effects, targeted landscape policies are urgently needed.

Originalsprog	Engelsk
Tidsskrift	Landscape Research
Vol/bind	44
Udgave nummer	4
Sider (fra-til)	458-476
Antal sider	19
ISSN	0142-6397
DOI	https://doi.org/10.1080/01426397.2018.1446074
Status	Udgivet - 19 maj 2019

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10.1080/01426397.2018.1446074Licens: CC BY

Drivers of European landscape changeForlagets udgivne version, 2,51 MBLicens: CC BY

Citationsformater

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AU - van der Sluis, Theo

AU - Arts, Bas

AU - Kok, Kasper

AU - Bogers, Marion

AU - Busck, Anne Gravsholt

AU - Sepp, Kalev

AU - Loupa-Ramos, Isabel

AU - Pavlis, Vangelis

AU - Geamana, Nicoleta

AU - Crouzat, Emilie

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AB - Understanding complex processes of landscape change is crucial to guide the development of future landscapes and land resources. Through Fuzzy Cognitive Mapping, we studied the processes of landscape change of six different environmental zones in Europe. Results show that landscapes are complex systems, with many interactions. Except for one, all regions show a strong decline in landscape quality. Dominant drivers are EU policy and the global economy, sometimes in conjunction with environmental drivers or the governance system. The process of change differs for all cases, through urbanisation or land abandonment in some cases, and agricultural intensification in others. The (un)intended effects of policies are difficult to predict. Although some EU Policies directly improve landscape quality, their indirect effects as well as other EU policies outweigh this positive influence and jointly result in a decrease of landscape quality. To counter these negative side effects, targeted landscape policies are urgently needed.

KW - complex systems

KW - drivers of change

KW - land management

KW - landscape policy

KW - Social-ecological systems

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Drivers of European landscape change: stakeholders’ perspectives through Fuzzy Cognitive Mapping

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