TY - JOUR
T1 - Blood pressure load does not add to ambulatory blood pressure level for cardiovascular risk stratification
AU - Li, Yan
AU - Thijs, Lutgarde
AU - Boggia, José
AU - Asayama, Kei
AU - Hansen, Tine W
AU - Kikuya, Masahiro
AU - Björklund-Bodegård, Kristina
AU - Ohkubo, Takayoshi
AU - Jeppesen, Jørgen
AU - Torp-Pedersen, Christian
AU - Dolan, Eamon
AU - Kuznetsova, Tatiana
AU - Stolarz-Skrzypek, Katarzyna
AU - Tikhonoff, Valérie
AU - Malyutina, Sofia
AU - Casiglia, Edoardo
AU - Nikitin, Yuri
AU - Lind, Lars
AU - Sandoya, Edgardo
AU - Kawecka-Jaszcz, Kalina
AU - Filipovsky, Jan
AU - Imai, Yutaka
AU - Ibsen, Hans
AU - O'Brien, Eoin
AU - Wang, Jiguang
AU - Staessen, Jan A
AU - International Database on Ambulatory blood pressure in relation to Cardiovascular Outcomes (IDACO) Investigators
PY - 2014/5
Y1 - 2014/5
N2 - Experts proposed blood pressure (BP) load derived from 24-hour ambulatory BP recordings as a more accurate predictor of outcome than level, in particular in normotensive people. We analyzed 8711 subjects (mean age, 54.8 years; 47.0% women) randomly recruited from 10 populations. We expressed BP load as percentage (%) of systolic/diastolic readings ≥135/≥85 mm Hg and ≥120/≥70 mm Hg during day and night, respectively, or as the area under the BP curve (mm Hg×h) using the same ceiling values. During a period of 10.7 years (median), 1284 participants died and 1109 experienced a fatal or nonfatal cardiovascular end point. In multivariable-adjusted models, the risk of cardiovascular complications gradually increased across deciles of BP level and load (P<0.001), but BP load did not substantially refine risk prediction based on 24-hour systolic or diastolic BP level (generalized R2 statistic ≤0.294%; net reclassification improvement ≤0.28%; integrated discrimination improvement ≤0.001%). Systolic/diastolic BP load of 40.0/42.3% or 91.8/73.6 mm Hg×h conferred a 10-year risk of a composite cardiovascular end point similar to a 24-hour systolic/diastolic BP of 130/80 mm Hg. In analyses dichotomized according to these thresholds, increased BP load did not refine risk prediction in the whole study population (R 2<0.051) or in untreated participants with 24-hour ambulatory normotension (R2<0.034). In conclusion, BP load does not improve risk stratification based on 24-hour BP level. This also applies to subjects with normal 24-hour BP for whom BP load was proposed to be particularly useful in risk stratification.
AB - Experts proposed blood pressure (BP) load derived from 24-hour ambulatory BP recordings as a more accurate predictor of outcome than level, in particular in normotensive people. We analyzed 8711 subjects (mean age, 54.8 years; 47.0% women) randomly recruited from 10 populations. We expressed BP load as percentage (%) of systolic/diastolic readings ≥135/≥85 mm Hg and ≥120/≥70 mm Hg during day and night, respectively, or as the area under the BP curve (mm Hg×h) using the same ceiling values. During a period of 10.7 years (median), 1284 participants died and 1109 experienced a fatal or nonfatal cardiovascular end point. In multivariable-adjusted models, the risk of cardiovascular complications gradually increased across deciles of BP level and load (P<0.001), but BP load did not substantially refine risk prediction based on 24-hour systolic or diastolic BP level (generalized R2 statistic ≤0.294%; net reclassification improvement ≤0.28%; integrated discrimination improvement ≤0.001%). Systolic/diastolic BP load of 40.0/42.3% or 91.8/73.6 mm Hg×h conferred a 10-year risk of a composite cardiovascular end point similar to a 24-hour systolic/diastolic BP of 130/80 mm Hg. In analyses dichotomized according to these thresholds, increased BP load did not refine risk prediction in the whole study population (R 2<0.051) or in untreated participants with 24-hour ambulatory normotension (R2<0.034). In conclusion, BP load does not improve risk stratification based on 24-hour BP level. This also applies to subjects with normal 24-hour BP for whom BP load was proposed to be particularly useful in risk stratification.
KW - Adult
KW - Aged
KW - Area Under Curve
KW - Blood Pressure
KW - Blood Pressure Monitoring, Ambulatory
KW - Cardiovascular Diseases
KW - Circadian Rhythm
KW - Female
KW - Humans
KW - Hypertension
KW - Incidence
KW - Male
KW - Middle Aged
KW - Multivariate Analysis
KW - Predictive Value of Tests
KW - Prospective Studies
KW - Retrospective Studies
KW - Risk Factors
U2 - 10.1161/hypertensionaha.113.02780
DO - 10.1161/hypertensionaha.113.02780
M3 - Journal article
C2 - 24535008
SN - 0194-911X
VL - 63
SP - 925
EP - 933
JO - Hypertension
JF - Hypertension
IS - 5
ER -