Better forecasts of range dynamics using genetic data

TY - JOUR

T1 - Better forecasts of range dynamics using genetic data

AU - Fordham, Damien A.

AU - Brook, Barry W.

AU - Moritz, Craig

AU - Nogues, David Bravo

PY - 2014/8

Y1 - 2014/8

N2 - The spatiotemporal response of species to past global change must be understood for adaptive management and to make useful predictions. Characteristics of past population dynamics are imprinted in genes, yet these molecular 'log books' are just beginning to be used to improve forecasts of biotic responses to climate change. This is despite there now being robust quantitative frameworks to incorporate such information. A tighter integration of genetic data into models of species range dynamics should lead to more robust and validated predictions of the response of demographic and evolutionary processes to large-scale environmental change. The use of these multidisciplinary methods will help conservation scientists to better connect theory to the on-ground design and implementation of effective measures to protect biodiversity.

AB - The spatiotemporal response of species to past global change must be understood for adaptive management and to make useful predictions. Characteristics of past population dynamics are imprinted in genes, yet these molecular 'log books' are just beginning to be used to improve forecasts of biotic responses to climate change. This is despite there now being robust quantitative frameworks to incorporate such information. A tighter integration of genetic data into models of species range dynamics should lead to more robust and validated predictions of the response of demographic and evolutionary processes to large-scale environmental change. The use of these multidisciplinary methods will help conservation scientists to better connect theory to the on-ground design and implementation of effective measures to protect biodiversity.

U2 - 10.1016/j.tree.2014.05.007

DO - 10.1016/j.tree.2014.05.007

M3 - Journal article

C2 - 24951394

SN - 0169-5347

VL - 29

SP - 436

EP - 443

JO - Trends in Ecology & Evolution

JF - Trends in Ecology & Evolution

IS - 8

ER -