Arctic sea ice reduction and European cold winters in CMIP5 climate change experiments

Shuting Yang; Jens H. Christensen

doi:10.1029/2012gl053338

Arctic sea ice reduction and European cold winters in CMIP5 climate change experiments

Shuting Yang^*, Jens H. Christensen

^*Corresponding author af dette arbejde

61 Citationer (Scopus)

Abstract

European winter climate and its possible relationship with the Arctic sea ice reduction in the recent past and future as simulated by the models of the Climate Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5) is investigated, with focus on the cold winters. While Europe will warm overall in the future, we find that episodes of cold months will continue to occur and there remains substantial probability for the occurrence of cold winters in Europe linked with sea ice reduction in the Barents and Kara Sea sector. A pattern of cold-European warm-Arctic anomaly is typical for the cold events in the future, which is associated with the negative phase of the Arctic Oscillation. These patterns, however, differ from the corresponding patterns in the historical period, and underline the connection between European cold winter events and Arctic sea ice reduction.

Originalsprog	Engelsk
Artikelnummer	L20707
Tidsskrift	Geophysical Research Letters
Vol/bind	39
Udgave nummer	20
ISSN	0094-8276
DOI	https://doi.org/10.1029/2012gl053338
Status	Udgivet - 28 okt. 2012
Udgivet eksternt	Ja

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10.1029/2012gl053338

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abstract = "European winter climate and its possible relationship with the Arctic sea ice reduction in the recent past and future as simulated by the models of the Climate Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5) is investigated, with focus on the cold winters. While Europe will warm overall in the future, we find that episodes of cold months will continue to occur and there remains substantial probability for the occurrence of cold winters in Europe linked with sea ice reduction in the Barents and Kara Sea sector. A pattern of cold-European warm-Arctic anomaly is typical for the cold events in the future, which is associated with the negative phase of the Arctic Oscillation. These patterns, however, differ from the corresponding patterns in the historical period, and underline the connection between European cold winter events and Arctic sea ice reduction.",

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AU - Yang, Shuting

AU - Christensen, Jens H.

PY - 2012/10/28

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N2 - European winter climate and its possible relationship with the Arctic sea ice reduction in the recent past and future as simulated by the models of the Climate Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5) is investigated, with focus on the cold winters. While Europe will warm overall in the future, we find that episodes of cold months will continue to occur and there remains substantial probability for the occurrence of cold winters in Europe linked with sea ice reduction in the Barents and Kara Sea sector. A pattern of cold-European warm-Arctic anomaly is typical for the cold events in the future, which is associated with the negative phase of the Arctic Oscillation. These patterns, however, differ from the corresponding patterns in the historical period, and underline the connection between European cold winter events and Arctic sea ice reduction.

AB - European winter climate and its possible relationship with the Arctic sea ice reduction in the recent past and future as simulated by the models of the Climate Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5) is investigated, with focus on the cold winters. While Europe will warm overall in the future, we find that episodes of cold months will continue to occur and there remains substantial probability for the occurrence of cold winters in Europe linked with sea ice reduction in the Barents and Kara Sea sector. A pattern of cold-European warm-Arctic anomaly is typical for the cold events in the future, which is associated with the negative phase of the Arctic Oscillation. These patterns, however, differ from the corresponding patterns in the historical period, and underline the connection between European cold winter events and Arctic sea ice reduction.

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DO - 10.1029/2012gl053338

M3 - Journal article

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VL - 39

JO - Geophysical Research Letters

JF - Geophysical Research Letters

IS - 20

M1 - L20707

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Arctic sea ice reduction and European cold winters in CMIP5 climate change experiments

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