A summary of the PRUDENCE model projections of changes in European climate by the end of this century

Jens Hesselbjerg Christensen; Ole Bøssing Christensen

doi:10.1007/s10584-006-9210-7

A summary of the PRUDENCE model projections of changes in European climate by the end of this century

Jens Hesselbjerg Christensen^*, Ole Bøssing Christensen

^*Corresponding author af dette arbejde

793 Citationer (Scopus)

Abstract

An overview of the PRUDENCE fine resolution climate model experiments for Europe is presented in terms of their climate change signals, in particular 2-meter temperature and precipitation. A comparison is made with regard to the seasonal variation in climate change response of the different models participating in the project. In particular, it will be possible to check how representative a particular PRUDENCE regional experiment is of the overall set in terms of seasonal values of temperature and precipitation. This is of relevance for such further studies and impact models that for practical reasons cannot use all the PRUDENCE regional experiments. This paper also provides some guidelines for how to select subsets of the PRUDENCE regional experiments according to such main sources of uncertainty in regional climate simulations as the choice of the emission scenario and of the driving global climate model.

Originalsprog	Engelsk
Tidsskrift	Climatic Change
Vol/bind	81
Udgave nummer	Suppl. 1
Sider (fra-til)	7-30
Antal sider	24
ISSN	0165-0009
DOI	https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-006-9210-7
Status	Udgivet - 2007
Udgivet eksternt	Ja

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10.1007/s10584-006-9210-7

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author = "Christensen, {Jens Hesselbjerg} and Christensen, {Ole B{\o}ssing}",

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AB - An overview of the PRUDENCE fine resolution climate model experiments for Europe is presented in terms of their climate change signals, in particular 2-meter temperature and precipitation. A comparison is made with regard to the seasonal variation in climate change response of the different models participating in the project. In particular, it will be possible to check how representative a particular PRUDENCE regional experiment is of the overall set in terms of seasonal values of temperature and precipitation. This is of relevance for such further studies and impact models that for practical reasons cannot use all the PRUDENCE regional experiments. This paper also provides some guidelines for how to select subsets of the PRUDENCE regional experiments according to such main sources of uncertainty in regional climate simulations as the choice of the emission scenario and of the driving global climate model.

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A summary of the PRUDENCE model projections of changes in European climate by the end of this century

Abstract

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