Trade policy dynamics, entry costs, and exchange rate uncertainty

Hans Christian Kongsted

Abstract

This article analyzes trade policy dynamics when there are sunk costs of entry and demand uncertainty. A natural generalization of the classic export tax prescription for a domestic industry facing downward-sloping foreign demand is defined and implemented as a dynamic competitive equilibrium with fully rational firms. The optimal tax rate adjustment policy is a trigger strategy. This provides a rationale for infrequent revisions of trade policy in response to exogenous shocks.

Original languageEnglish
JournalJournal of International Trade and Economic Development
Volume21
Issue number2
Pages (from-to)197-216
Number of pages20
ISSN0963-8199
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Apr 2012

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