Stochastic models to simulate paratuberculosis in dairy herds

Søren Saxmose Nielsen; M.F. Weber; Anne Margrethe Braad Kudahl; Clara Marcé; Nils Toft

Stochastic models to simulate paratuberculosis in dairy herds

Søren Saxmose Nielsen, M.F. Weber, Anne Margrethe Braad Kudahl, Clara Marcé, Nils Toft

5 Citationer (Scopus)

15 Downloads (Pure)

Abstract

Stochastic simulation models are widely accepted as a means of assessing the
impact of changes in daily management and the control of different diseases,
such as paratuberculosis, in dairy herds. This paper summarises and discusses
the assumptions of four stochastic simulation models and their use in the design
of certification, surveillance, and control strategies for paratuberculosis in cattle
herds. A detailed comparison is made between the Dutch JohneSSim and the
Danish PTB-Simherd, using the same context of a set of control strategies in a
typical Dutch/Danish herd. The conclusion is that while the models are
somewhat different in their underlying principles and do put slightly different
values on the different strategies, their overall findings are similar. Therefore,
simulation models may be useful in planning paratuberculosis strategies in dairy
herds, although as with all models caution is warranted when interpreting and
generalising the results.

Originalsprog	Engelsk
Tidsskrift	O I E Revue Scientifique et Technique
Vol/bind	30
Udgave nummer	2
Sider (fra-til)	615-625
Antal sider	11
ISSN	0253-1933
Status	Udgivet - aug. 2011

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http://web.oie.int/boutique/extrait/21nielsen615625.pdf

Citationsformater

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AU - Nielsen, Søren Saxmose

AU - Weber, M.F.

AU - Kudahl, Anne Margrethe Braad

AU - Marcé, Clara

AU - Toft, Nils

PY - 2011/8

Y1 - 2011/8

N2 - Stochastic simulation models are widely accepted as a means of assessing the impact of changes in daily management and the control of different diseases, such as paratuberculosis, in dairy herds. This paper summarises and discusses the assumptions of four stochastic simulation models and their use in the design of certification, surveillance, and control strategies for paratuberculosis in cattle herds. A detailed comparison is made between the Dutch JohneSSim and the Danish PTB-Simherd, using the same context of a set of control strategies in a typical Dutch/Danish herd. The conclusion is that while the models are somewhat different in their underlying principles and do put slightly different values on the different strategies, their overall findings are similar. Therefore, simulation models may be useful in planning paratuberculosis strategies in dairy herds, although as with all models caution is warranted when interpreting and generalising the results.

AB - Stochastic simulation models are widely accepted as a means of assessing the impact of changes in daily management and the control of different diseases, such as paratuberculosis, in dairy herds. This paper summarises and discusses the assumptions of four stochastic simulation models and their use in the design of certification, surveillance, and control strategies for paratuberculosis in cattle herds. A detailed comparison is made between the Dutch JohneSSim and the Danish PTB-Simherd, using the same context of a set of control strategies in a typical Dutch/Danish herd. The conclusion is that while the models are somewhat different in their underlying principles and do put slightly different values on the different strategies, their overall findings are similar. Therefore, simulation models may be useful in planning paratuberculosis strategies in dairy herds, although as with all models caution is warranted when interpreting and generalising the results.

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JO - O I E Revue Scientifique et Technique

JF - O I E Revue Scientifique et Technique

IS - 2

ER -

Stochastic models to simulate paratuberculosis in dairy herds

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